The PPI report is a lesson in how algos and real people operate in markets
Once in awhile, real people can still get an edge trading economic data.The PPI move has been almost-entirely reversed but it took 9 minutes, which is a long time in terms of markets. What happened is that the algos puked on the headline m/m reading of +0.5% compared to +0.2%. The three-ticks miss was higher than any estimate.However, it happened directly due to three-tick lower revision to the March number from +0.2% to -0.1%. On net, the year-over-year numbers were entirely in-line at 2.2% y/y.The resulting price action looked like this in AUD/USD and similar elsewhere:If you're trading economic data, that was your window.In the old days of trading --before algos took over-- there were many economic data and news trades that offered a similar 5-10 minute window of opportunity to front-run other real people and figure things out more quickly. Now, those are harder to find but-- as today shows -- not impossible. This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
Once in awhile, real people can still get an edge trading economic data.
The PPI move has been almost-entirely reversed but it took 9 minutes, which is a long time in terms of markets. What happened is that the algos puked on the headline m/m reading of +0.5% compared to +0.2%. The three-ticks miss was higher than any estimate.
However, it happened directly due to three-tick lower revision to the March number from +0.2% to -0.1%. On net, the year-over-year numbers were entirely in-line at 2.2% y/y.
The resulting price action looked like this in AUD/USD and similar elsewhere:
If you're trading economic data, that was your window.
In the old days of trading --before algos took over-- there were many economic data and news trades that offered a similar 5-10 minute window of opportunity to front-run other real people and figure things out more quickly. Now, those are harder to find but-- as today shows -- not impossible. This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.